Asia Daily: October 11, 2024
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North Korea accuses South Korea of flying drones to its capital and threatens to attack next time. North Korea accused South Korea of flying drones over Pyongyang, claiming these drones dropped anti-regime leaflets. The North called the flights a serious provocation and warned of military retaliation if repeated. South Korea issued a vague denial, while North Korea’s Foreign Ministry threatened armed conflict if its sovereignty is violated again. Tensions continue to rise as both sides engage in propaganda campaigns. Kim Tong-hyung, AP News, October 11
Politburo disciplines wrongdoing Party organisations, members. Vietnam’s Politburo issued disciplinary measures against several Party organizations and members for violations of Party regulations, including democratic centralism and state laws. Key figures, including Dang Quoc Khanh and Chau Van Lam, were disciplined for their involvement in serious violations related to expressway projects, causing significant public concern and potential state asset losses. Warnings were issued to Party Committees in Ha Giang, Tuyen Quang, Phu Tho, and Quang Ngai provinces. Vietnam News, October 11
Japan's new PM Ishiba seeks to meet China's Xi, no date fixed. Japanese Prime Minister Shigeru Ishiba expressed his intention to meet Chinese President Xi Jinping, though no specific date has been set. During his first overseas trip as Japan's leader, Ishiba discussed stabilizing relations with Chinese Premier Li Qiang, emphasizing multilayered communication and cooperation. Tensions remain over China's military activities near Japan, with Ishiba stressing that unilateral changes to the status quo are unacceptable. Kyodo News, October 11
China vows to 'consult, dialogue' with Asean on sea disputes. China reaffirmed its commitment to resolving maritime disputes in the South China Sea through dialogue and consultation with ASEAN members. Chinese Foreign Ministry spokesperson Mao Ning emphasized respect for historical facts and international law, highlighting China's efforts to implement the Declaration on the Conduct of Parties in the South China Sea. The statement comes amid rising tensions, with Philippine President Marcos Jr. urging adherence to international law in the region. Javier Joe Ismael, The Manila Times, October 11
Ambassador of Taliban-led Afghanistan starts work in Uzbekistan. The new Afghan ambassador, Abdul Ghafar Terawi, has officially begun his duties in Uzbekistan, marking a significant step in diplomatic relations between the two nations. Both sides discussed enhancing bilateral cooperation, focusing on economic development and regional stability. Uzbekistan reaffirmed its support for Afghanistan’s reconstruction, highlighting initiatives like the Trans-Afghan railway and the expansion of the Educational Center for Afghan citizens.Sergey Kwan, The Times of Central Asia, October 11
N. Korean man crosses into S. Korea in 3rd defection in 2 months. A North Korean man defected to South Korea by crossing the western maritime border on a wooden boat near Baengnyeong Island on September 17. This marks the third defection in two months amid continued tensions and North Korea’s efforts to tighten border control. South Korea’s military monitored and assisted the man during the operation, but details on his identity were not disclosed. Chae Yun-hwan, Yonhap News Agency, October 11
New arrests revive concern that nonviolent political protesters in Myanmar may be tortured. Two activists, Paing Phyo Min and Shein Wai Aung, were arrested this week in Yangon, raising fears of torture during their detention. Both were involved in peaceful protests against the military regime. Human rights groups have long reported on the use of torture in Myanmar’s interrogation centers, and activists are urging international pressure for their release. Grant Peck, AP News, October 11
Indonesia asks Apple, Google to block China's Temu to protect small merchants. Indonesia has requested Apple and Google to block the Chinese e-commerce platform Temu in their app stores to safeguard small and medium-sized businesses from low-cost competition. The government preemptively seeks to prevent Temu's impact, citing concerns about its direct-to-factory model offering extremely cheap goods. Indonesia previously shut down TikTok's e-commerce service for similar reasons and may also request a block on Shein. Ananda Teresia, Reuters, October 11
Yoon calls for international solidarity against N. Korea-Russia military cooperation. South Korean President Yoon Suk Yeol condemned the growing military ties between North Korea and Russia during the East Asia Summit, calling for united global action against North Korea's nuclear threats. Yoon warned that this cooperation prolongs the war in Ukraine and violates U.N. Security Council resolutions. He also emphasized the importance of North Korea's denuclearization for peace in the Indo-Pacific region, while voicing support for dialogue to end the crisis in Myanmar. Kim Eun-jung, Yonhap News Agencys, October 11
Lawyer sets sights on Pheu Thai Party. Teerayut Suwankesorn, known for his successful petition leading to the disbandment of the Move Forward Party (MFP), has filed a new petition accusing the ruling Pheu Thai Party of undermining the constitutional monarchy. Teerayut's legal actions often target those he perceives as hostile to the monarchy, and he has been involved in high-profile cases linked to Thailand's lese majeste law. His latest move continues his legal efforts against progressive political figures. Chairith Yonpiam, Bangkok Post, October 11
CIS leaders call for the prevention of a revival of fascism, Nazism, and a new world war. In a joint statement, CIS leaders urged the global community to prevent the resurgence of fascism, Nazism, and militarism, emphasizing the importance of protecting historical truth about World War II. They condemned attempts to distort history and glorify Nazi collaborators, calling for respect for monuments dedicated to those who fought against Nazism. The statement also stressed the need for unity in combating modern threats of fascism and ensuring global peace. Sadokat Jalolova, The Times of Central Asia, October 11
China, Vietnam set to sign deals on railway links, agriculture, sources say. China and Vietnam are expected to sign agreements to enhance railway connections and agricultural trade during Chinese Premier Li Qiang’s visit to Hanoi. These deals, including improvements in payment systems and customs procedures, signal growing economic cooperation between the two countries. Seamless rail links are seen as crucial for trade, especially as Chinese manufacturers move operations to Vietnam amid U.S.-China trade tensions. Phuong Nguyen and Khanh Vu, Reuters, October 11
Laos, Japan to boost cooperation on green energy, infrastructure. Laos and Japan have agreed to enhance collaboration on green energy and infrastructure projects. During talks between Lao Prime Minister Sonexay Siphandone and Japanese Prime Minister Shigeru Ishiba, both sides emphasized the importance of sustainable development, focusing on energy-efficient infrastructure and green technology investments. The cooperation is part of broader efforts to strengthen bilateral relations and promote eco-friendly development in Laos. Phontham Visapra, The Laotian Times, October 11
Kyrgyzstan: Conviction of journalists at anti-corruption outlet is "turning point for press freedom." Four journalists from the investigative outlet Temirov Live were convicted of inciting unrest, sparking condemnation from rights groups who view this as a serious blow to Kyrgyzstan’s press freedom. Makhabat Tazhibek kyzy received a six-year sentence, while other colleagues faced prison or probation. Critics argue that the charges, including against content critical of President Japarov, mark a shift towards authoritarianism. Ayzirek Imanaliyeva, Eurasianet, October 11
Chinese envoy praises Bangladesh student protesters while urging return to stability. Chinese Ambassador Yao Wen praised the student protesters in Bangladesh for their "courage and wisdom" during the anti-government movement that led to a regime change. Meeting with student leaders, Yao encouraged them to help restore unity and development in the country. Two protest leaders were appointed to the interim government, which is now led by economist Muhammad Yunus. Zhao Ziwen, South China Morning Post, October 11
N. Korean leader calls for fighting against corruption in message marking party founding anniv. North Korean leader Kim Jong-un urged officials to combat corruption and abuse of power in a message marking the 79th anniversary of the Workers' Party's founding. He criticized party officials for mishandling policies and warned that corrupt actions weaken the party. Kim emphasized the importance of caring for people, citing relief efforts for flood victims and regional development. A banquet was held to commemorate the occasion, with Russian Ambassador Matsegora present as a guest. Kim Soo-yeon, Yonhap News Agency, October 11
Vietnam eyes stronger trade ties with Indonesia: PM. Vietnamese Prime Minister Pham Minh Chinh met Indonesian Vice President Ma’ruf Amin during the ASEAN Summits in Laos, aiming to elevate bilateral trade to $18 billion. Both leaders discussed boosting political trust, enhancing cooperation across sectors like food security, high-tech agriculture, and green economy. They also addressed concerns about illegal fishing and agreed to improve bilateral cooperation mechanisms while preparing for significant diplomatic anniversaries. Vietnam News, October 11
The US wakes up to China’s latest threat – big ships. China’s dominance in shipbuilding has become a critical concern for the United States, with Chinese shipyards producing far more vessels than their American counterparts. The US, which once led the industry, now lags significantly, building less than 1% of global commercial ships. To counter this, the US is collaborating with Asian allies like South Korea and Japan, and exploring military repair facilities in Asia to bridge the gap. China’s lower costs and massive industrial capacity pose both economic and military threats. Selwyn Parker, Lowy Institute, October 11
Digital Trade Wars 2: New US Legislation Labels KFTC’s Tech Regulation Discriminatory, But Is It? New US legislation claims South Korea's updated tech regulation by the Korea Fair Trade Commission (KFTC) unfairly targets American firms while favoring Chinese companies. The KFTC argues that its regulation, focusing on dominant online platforms, aims to promote fair competition rather than protectionism. US policymakers are concerned that these rules disproportionately affect American tech giants, possibly escalating trade tensions between the two allies. Haeyoon Kim & Simon Lester, Korea Economic Institute of America, October 11
Reading Lai Ching-te’s National Day Speech and Its Implications for Cross-Strait Relations. Taiwan's President Lai Ching-te delivered a cautious National Day speech, emphasizing continuity in Taiwan’s stance towards China while reiterating the Republic of China's sovereignty. Lai called for dialogue with China on issues like climate change and regional security, but his reference to Taiwan's sovereignty and rejection of annexation will likely provoke Beijing. Despite his restrained tone, cross-strait relations are expected to remain tense. David Sacks, Council on Foreign Relations, October 11
Asia’s path to climate-resilient infrastructure. Asia faces challenges in developing climate-resilient infrastructure, given the growing intensity of climate change impacts. The region must prioritize sustainable development by integrating risk assessments and adopting innovative solutions like nature-based approaches and green infrastructure. Policymakers need to focus on financing mechanisms, leveraging public-private partnerships, and fostering regional cooperation to support this transition. Adaptation strategies are critical to ensure long-term economic and environmental stability. Parjiono and Boby Wahyu Hernawan, East Asia Forum, October 12
Crossroads of Commerce: How the Taiwan Strait Propels the Global Economy. The Taiwan Strait is a critical maritime trade route, facilitating over $1.3 trillion of Chinese imports and exports in 2022. Key U.S. allies, including Japan and South Korea, rely heavily on the strait for energy and goods shipments. Disruptions due to rising geopolitical tensions between China and Taiwan could severely impact global supply chains, particularly for high-tech industries. Shipping companies may face significant delays and increased costs as they reroute vessels. Matthew P. Funaiole, Brian Hart, David Peng, Bonny Lin, and Jasper Verschuur, CSIS, October 10
US Policy Toward the Indo-Pacific through 2030: Continuity, Consequences, and Change. US Indo-Pacific policy is expected to maintain continuity across administrations, focusing on countering China’s regional influence, strengthening alliances, and ensuring military superiority, particularly concerning Taiwan and North Korea. However, this sustained approach risks escalating tensions and arms races, while increasing nuclear threats in the region. The next US administration will need to assess whether to continue these policies or explore alternative strategies to reduce instability. Toby Dalton & Anna Bartoux, 38 North, October 11
Speeding Up the Economy: The Role of Methamphetamines in the Southeast Asian Boom. Methamphetamine use has surged in Southeast Asia as economic pressures push laborers to use the drug to meet intense work demands. From Cambodian truck drivers to Myanmar's jade miners, workers rely on meth to boost productivity, despite serious health and social consequences. This widespread drug usage is tied to the region's rapid economic growth, revealing a troubling connection between labor conditions and drug addiction. Daniel Zak & Vutha Srey, The Diplomat, October 11
Why Do China Bulls Keep Getting It Wrong? Optimists about China’s economy repeatedly fail to recognize the Chinese government’s unpredictability, such as with recent monetary and policy U-turns. These so-called "China bulls" often misinterpret short-term rallies, believing in the exceptionalism of China's leadership. However, the government's actions, like sudden reversals in COVID-19 policies or half-hearted economic stimulus efforts, highlight systemic issues that challenge long-term optimism. Donald Low, The Diplomat, October 11
Less Active, More Disappointed: The Nuclear Referendum Disheartens Kazakhstan’s Opposition. Kazakhstan's October 6 nuclear referendum, which approved the construction of a nuclear plant, is viewed skeptically by opposition groups. Experts point to violations in the voting process and a growing disillusionment with the government’s actions since the 2022 protests. The low political engagement and suppression of dissent highlight a broader trend of shrinking public participation and increasing authoritarianism. Dmitriy Mazorenko, Nazerke Kurmangazinova, Olga Loginova, Beiimbet Moldagali, Almas Kaisar, Victoria Natachiyeva, Vlast, October 10
Fortifying the Ballot: Addressing Disinformation and Electoral Integrity in Malaysia. Malaysia faces challenges with disinformation and political propaganda that undermine electoral integrity, particularly during election campaigns. The rise of social media has fueled the spread of polarizing and false narratives, contributing to deepening ethnic divisions. To address these issues, policy recommendations include establishing an independent fact-checking body, AI tools for detecting misinformation, and improving media literacy education. Strengthening regulatory frameworks and increasing collaboration between stakeholders are essential to safeguarding the democratic process. Nuurrianti Jalli & Khairy Jamaluddin, Fulcrum, October 11
Mpox: Can ASEAN Build Resilience to Tackle Health Threats? Southeast Asia is improving its public health systems to address mpox, with ASEAN using lessons from the COVID-19 pandemic to bolster regional cooperation. However, challenges remain, including disparities in health infrastructure, limited resources, and the potential for misinformation. ASEAN initiatives, such as the ASEAN Centre for Public Health Emergencies, are crucial for preparedness, but further investment is needed to ensure effective responses to future health threats. Mutiara Indriani & Fadjar Wibowo, Fulcrum, October 11