Asia Daily: July 29, 2024
News
The US and China air global differences as their top diplomats meet for sixth time since last year. The United States and China reiterated their grievances during a meeting between U.S. Secretary of State Antony Blinken and Chinese Foreign Minister Wang Yi. Held at a Southeast Asian security forum in Laos, the talks addressed issues in the Indo-Pacific, Europe, and the Americas. Blinken condemned China's actions in the South China Sea and its support for Russia, while Wang criticized the U.S. for its containment efforts. Matthew Lee, AP News, July 28
Philippines says China mischaracterised South China Sea deal. The Philippines' foreign ministry accused China of mischaracterizing an agreement allowing resupply missions to Filipino troops at the Second Thomas Shoal. The provisional arrangement was intended to prevent clashes in the disputed area. While the Philippine foreign ministry reported an incident-free resupply mission, China's coast guard claimed it permitted the vessel's passage. Philippine spokesperson Teresita Daza criticized China's misrepresentation, emphasizing the need to avoid false notions about the agreement. Mikhail Flores, Reuters, July 28
North Korean officials seek medicines for Kim’s obesity-related health problems, Seoul says. North Korean leader Kim Jong Un has regained weight and reportedly faces health issues like high blood pressure and diabetes. South Korea’s spy agency informed lawmakers that North Korean officials are seeking new medicines abroad for Kim’s conditions. Kim's health draws international attention as he has not appointed a successor. The National Intelligence Service also noted that Kim’s daughter, Kim Ju Ae, is likely being groomed as his heir apparent. Hyung-jin Kim, AP News, July 28
Ayungin resupply 'without incident'. The Philippines completed a rotation and resupply mission to Ayungin (Second Thomas) Shoal without any incidents. This mission, following a recent agreement with China, was the first since the arrangement allowing daily supplies and rotations for Filipino troops on the BRP Sierra Madre. The operation, overseen by the Philippine Coast Guard (PCG), proceeded smoothly. This resupply follows a previous violent encounter with Chinese forces over a month ago. Javier Joe Ismael, The Manila Times, July 28
Japan local politicians show support for Taiwan at exchange event. Local politicians in Japan expressed strong support for Taiwan at an exchange event held to bolster bilateral relations. The event, held in Tokyo, featured speeches from politicians across multiple parties, including members of the ruling Liberal Democratic Party and opposition parties. They emphasized the need for cooperation in areas such as economic development, security, and cultural exchange. The gathering also addressed concerns over China's increasing assertiveness in the region. Kyodo News, July 29
Deputy Move Forward leader promises new chapter of Thai politics. Sirikanya Tansakul, deputy leader of the Move Forward Party (MFP), said that if she becomes the leader, it will bring more women into leadership and signify a new chapter in Thai politics. She mentioned the party's readiness to form a new entity if disbanded by court order. The Constitutional Court will rule on MFP’s potential dissolution on August 7, following allegations of undermining the constitutional monarchy. Bangkok Post, July 29
Iran-Turkmenistan-Kazakhstan-China rail transport route resumes operation. The Iran-Turkmenistan-Kazakhstan-China rail transport route has resumed operations with container trains managed by KTZ Express and China Railway Container Transport Co. Ltd. The service was relaunched with a ceremony at Iran's Aprin station on July 21, marking the departure of a container train to China. This route aims to enhance trade relations among the participating countries. Sergey Kwan, The Times of Central Asia, July 29
Việt Nam, Burundi vow to expand partnership. During a meeting in Hà Nội, Lê Hoà i Trung of Việt Nam's Communist Party and Révérien Ndikuriyo of Burundi's CNDD-FDD agreed to strengthen bilateral relations through high-level exchanges and mutual support. They discussed facilitating the operation of Viettel Group in Burundi and enhancing cooperation in politics, economy, trade, and cultural exchanges, especially ahead of the 50th anniversary of diplomatic ties next year. Vietnam News, July 29
Top Chinese navy officer Hu Zhongming and PLA ships head to Russia for maritime parade. Admiral Hu Zhongming, on his first overseas trip as China's top naval officer, attended Russia’s Navy Day celebrations in St. Petersburg. He met with Russian Deputy Defense Minister Alexander Fomin to discuss naval cooperation. China's Type 052D guided missile destroyer Jiaozuo participated in the parade. The visit, highlighting strengthened Sino-Russian security ties, follows joint naval exercises and patrols in disputed waters. Amber Wang, South China Morning Post, July 28
North Korea vows 'total destruction' of enemy on Korean War anniversary. North Korea vowed to "totally destroy" its enemies if leader Kim Jong Un orders, according to state media KCNA. Senior military officials, including Army Colonel Ri Un Ryong and Navy Lieutenant Commander Yu Kyong Song, expressed strong anti-U.S. and South Korea sentiments during a meeting marking the 71st anniversary of the Korean War armistice. The officials accused the U.S. and South Korea of provoking nuclear war and pledged to enhance their military's combat readiness. Hyunsu Yim, Reuters, July 28
ACCEPT II project drives ASEAN’s energy transition with high-level policy dialogues, regional workshop in Laos. The ASEAN Centre for Energy, through the ACCEPT II project, hosted policy dialogues and a workshop in Laos from July 25-26 to promote a low-carbon economy. Discussions focused on leveraging the ASEAN Power Grid, integrating renewable energy, and achieving carbon neutrality. High-level delegates addressed technical challenges and financing mechanisms, emphasizing regional cooperation and policy alignment. The Laotian Times, July 29
Japan PM vows to strengthen alliance with US. Prime Minister Kishida Fumio of Japan has committed to enhancing the country's alliance with the United States during a recent policy speech in Tokyo. He emphasized the importance of the US-Japan partnership in maintaining regional stability and addressing global challenges such as China's growing influence and North Korea's nuclear program. Kishida also discussed the need for deeper cooperation in economic and technological fields, including semiconductor production and cybersecurity. Kyodo News, July 29
Indonesia keeps up hopes of hosting 2036 Olympics, as president-elect Prabowo meets IOC president in Paris. Indonesia's president-elect Prabowo Subianto met with International Olympic Committee (IOC) President Thomas Bach in Paris to reiterate Indonesia's interest in hosting the 2036 Summer Olympics. State-Owned Enterprises Minister Erick Thohir highlighted Indonesia's history of hosting major events and Prabowo's vision for the country as a global sports venue. Indonesia is also keen on hosting the 2030 Youth Olympics. Prabowo's meeting included discussions on soccer collaboration with FIFA President Gianni Infantino. Channel News Asia, July 29
Bangladesh authorities detain student protest leaders in hospital. Bangladeshi authorities detained three student protest leaders from a hospital, stating the action was taken for their security. The students were part of ongoing demonstrations against government policies and were receiving treatment for injuries sustained during protests. Home Minister Asaduzzaman Khan mentioned that the leaders were taken into custody for questioning. The protests, led by students, have demanded various reforms and have faced a heavy crackdown from the government, leading to widespread tensions and unrest. Al Jazeera, July 27
Kyrgyzstan presidential decree ties Kyrgyz statehood to Soviet legacy. Kyrgyzstan's President Sadyr Japarov signed a decree linking the country's statehood to its Soviet past, sparking significant debate. The decree emphasizes the importance of the Soviet period in the formation of modern Kyrgyzstan, highlighting achievements in education, health care, and infrastructure development. Critics argue that this move undermines the significance of Kyrgyzstan's pre-Soviet history and its post-independence achievements. Eurasianet, July 29
Official says Washington’s Indo-Pacific policy to remain in place no matter who wins the presidential election. Daniel Kritenbrink, the Assistant Secretary for East Asian and Pacific Affairs, affirmed that the U.S. will maintain its Indo-Pacific policy regardless of the presidential election outcome. He cited strong bipartisan support and ongoing commitments to regional allies and partners. The U.S. has enhanced engagement with Asian allies and Pacific island nations in recent years, aiming to counter China's influence. PINA, July 29
North Korea's Kim Jong Un inspects flooded areas near China border, KCNA says. North Korean leader Kim Jong Un inspected flooded areas near the China border after 5,000 people were affected by record torrential rain in Sinuiju and nearby regions. The military organized around 10 planes to rescue 4,200 people. Kim praised the military's rescue efforts but criticized officials for inadequate crisis response measures. The heavy rainfall was caused by Tropical Storm Gaemi, which also triggered a deadly landslide in southern China. Joyce Lee, Reuters, July 28
China’s Xi calls for cooperation with Italy, evoking ancient ‘Silk Road’. Chinese President Xi Jinping urged further cooperation with Italy during a meeting with Italian Prime Minister Giorgia Meloni, highlighting their historical ties via the Silk Road. Despite Italy withdrawing from China’s Belt and Road Initiative, Meloni signed a new trade cooperation agreement. Meloni emphasized Italy's potential role in balancing China-EU trade relations, amid recent EU tariffs on Chinese electric vehicles and tensions over China's support for Russia. AP News, July 28
Opposition-controlled parliament unilaterally passes contentious broadcasting bill. South Korea's opposition-controlled National Assembly passed a contentious broadcasting bill aimed at reducing government influence over public broadcasters, with the ruling party walking out in protest. The Democratic Party led the bill's passage in a 187-0 vote, ending a filibuster by the ruling People Power Party. The bill increases the number of board directors at public broadcaster MBC from nine to 21. Other related bills aim to reform governance structures of public media. Yi Wonju, Yonhap News Agency, July 29
Long Form
The Elephant's Tusks: India Announces New Defense Budget. India announced its defense budget for FY 2024-2025, allocating approximately $75 billion, a slight increase from the previous year's $71 billion. This budget aims to modernize the military through reforms and investments in the defense industrial base, including support for innovation startups. Despite these efforts, challenges persist in resource allocation and implementation of reforms. The government prioritizes expanding the defense industrial base, with initiatives like iDEX and DISC supporting innovation and technology development. Connor Fiddler,
, July 29Southeast Asian governments crack down on social media scammers. Southeast Asian governments are intensifying efforts to combat social media scams, with Malaysia and Singapore implementing new regulations. Malaysia will require social media platforms to register for a license by 2025, allowing the government to introduce a "kill switch" for harmful content. Singapore mandates social media platforms to verify the identity of sellers to prevent scams and malicious activities. These measures aim to protect users in a region with high social media engagement. Jon Russell,
, July 29The unheard potential of moderate voices in New Caledonia’s crisis. Persistent civil unrest in New Caledonia has deepened the divide between pro-independence activists and loyalists. The unrest began in May 2024 over electoral reforms and has highlighted the polarization in the island society. There is a growing call for moderate leaders to mediate and address concerns from both sides. The French national election brought new representatives from both political camps, potentially fostering dialogue and peace. Catherine Wilson, Lowy Institute, July 29
Slowing Protests Reveal Deep-Rooted Political Challenges in Bangladesh. Recent violent protests in Dhaka have subsided after the government imposed a curfew and made concessions on job quotas for civil war veterans. Despite this, underlying issues such as democratic backsliding, economic instability, and repression under Sheikh Hasina's government remain. The crackdown on dissent has caused significant political and social damage, raising concerns about future instability and potential backlash against the ruling Awami League. Joshua Kurlantzick, Council on Foreign Relations, July 29
China sees mixed results wooing Europe. China’s efforts to strengthen ties with Europe have produced uneven outcomes. While some countries welcome Chinese investment, others remain cautious due to geopolitical tensions and concerns over economic dependency. Key issues include differing views on human rights, trade practices, and strategic interests. Despite these challenges, China continues to pursue diplomatic and economic engagement, aiming to balance cooperation with its broader global strategy. David Uren, East Asia Forum, July 29
Sri Lanka’s Underappreciated Asset: Offshore LNG. Developing Sri Lanka's offshore natural gas resources could alleviate its economic crisis, provide energy security, and reduce carbon emissions. The Mannar basin holds untapped potential, and exploiting these reserves can decrease reliance on costly imports. Investment and development in these gas fields are essential for the country's economic recovery and sustainable growth, despite challenges posed by high exploration costs and international funding preferences for renewable energy. Thomas L. Davis and Amila Sandaruwan Ratnayake, The Diplomat, July 27
The Intensifying Impacts of Upstream Dams on the Mekong. Upstream dam operations on the Mekong River are exacerbating drought conditions and environmental degradation in downstream regions. The 2024 dry season saw the lowest hydropower releases in three years, impacting water flow and increasing salinity intrusion in Vietnam’s Mekong Delta. This situation shows the need for cross-border collaboration to ensure sustainable water management and protect vulnerable ecosystems and communities. Nguyen Minh Quang, Nguyen Phuong Nguyen, Le Minh Hieu, and James Borton, The Diplomat, July 27
Some Reasons Not to Panic About a Thai Demographic Collapse. Despite projections that Thailand's working-age population will decline by 2050, the situation isn't as dire as it seems. The country can leverage migrant labor from neighboring countries and implement innovative policies to boost fertility rates. Additionally, Thailand’s agricultural automation, food self-sufficiency, and strong health expenditure system provide resilience. Strategic planning in education, productivity, and migrant worker policies will be crucial to mitigate demographic challenges. David Hutt, The Diplomat, July 29
An Arab Spring for Bangladesh? Recent violent protests in Bangladesh have seen a heavy-handed government response to student demands for fair access to government jobs amid high unemployment. The government's measures include shutting down educational institutions, imposing curfews, and cutting internet access, resulting in 200 deaths. This unrest, reminiscent of the Arab Spring, shows the intersection of economic growth with corruption and inequality under authoritarian regimes. M. Niaz Asadullah, The Japan Times, July 29
How rigidly socialist North Korea embraced capitalism, on its own eclectic terms. North Korea's foreign trade is dominated by foreign trade companies (FTCs), showcasing a unique blend of socialist and capitalist practices. The government's pragmatic approach to foreign trade has led to outlandish schemes to earn cash, a far cry from its strictly socialist ideology. Recently discovered documents and defectors' writings reveal how Pyongyang adopted these capitalistic methods over time to support its economy. Andrei Lankov, NK News, July 26
How ties with Algeria pitted North Korea against Iran, and shape policy today. North Korea's relations with Algeria greatly influenced its foreign policy and positioned it against Iran. Algiers' strong support for Pyongyang during the Cold War era forced North Korea to adapt its diplomatic strategies. The enduring relationship with Algeria remains crucial for North Korea's geopolitical stance. Balazs Szalontai, NK Pro, July 29
Leak of defense secrets to North Korea exposes Seoul’s cyber vulnerabilities. A recent leak of confidential information from South Korea's Defense Intelligence Command to North Korea has revealed large cybersecurity flaws. The breach included personal details of undercover agents, prompting the suspension and recall of some operatives. This incident is the latest in a series exposing systemic issues in South Korea's defense cybersecurity, raising concerns about national security and intelligence operations. John Lee, Korea Pro, July 29
US, ROK, Japan institutionalize defense cooperation to confront regional threats. The U.S., South Korea, and Japan signed a Memorandum of Cooperation, formalizing trilateral security efforts through joint exercises, information sharing, and policy consultations. This agreement addresses North Korea's missile tests and its military ties with Russia, while affirming opposition to unilateral changes in Indo-Pacific waters. The defense ministers praised the recent Freedom Edge exercise and scheduled the next ministerial meeting in South Korea to further enhance regional stability. Korea Pro, Korea Pro, July 29
Myanmar’s Economy Deeper in the Quagmire. Myanmar's economy faces severe challenges due to the State Administration Council's coercive policies, ongoing conflicts, and lack of budget transparency. GDP growth is projected at only 1% for 2024, with economic output significantly below pre-COVID-19 levels. The kyat's devaluation, disrupted border trade, and controversial reshuffles in key economic positions further complicate the situation. Efforts to de-dollarize trade and revisit infrastructure projects remain uncertain amidst the nation's turmoil. Romain Caillaud, Fulcrum, July 29