News
Philippines to be 'relentless' in protecting interests in South China Sea, it says. The Philippines and China agreed to "restore trust" and "rebuild confidence" to manage maritime disputes during their ninth Bilateral Consultation Mechanism meeting in Manila. Despite recent aggressive actions by China's Coast Guard, the Philippines vowed to be relentless in protecting its interests. The two countries discussed measures to manage sea situations and explored potential cooperation between their coast guards. Both sides reaffirmed their commitment to de-escalate tensions but maintained their respective positions on disputed areas, including the Second Thomas Shoal. Mikhail Flores and Karen Lema, Reuters, July 2
China’s Xi hails ‘unique’ links with Kazakhstan, ‘looks forward’ to SCO summit. President Xi Jinping praised China’s longstanding ties with Kazakhstan during his state visit to Astana, where he met Kazakh President Kassym-Jomart Tokayev. Xi highlighted the 32-year diplomatic relationship and the "permanent comprehensive strategic partnership." He also expressed anticipation for the Shanghai Cooperation Organisation (SCO) summit, discussing future cooperation and development. This visit underscores China's growing influence in Central Asia, historically within Russia's sphere. Xi also emphasized bilateral cooperation in areas like energy, agriculture, and new technologies. Zhao Ziwen, South China Morning Post, July 2
U.S. State Department criticizes Tajikistan for religious restrictions. The U.S. State Department's 2023 World Religious Freedom Report lists Tajikistan as a country of “particular concern” due to significant religious freedom violations. The report highlights state-imposed bans on the hijab, restrictions on minors and women praying in mosques, and harassment of Jehovah’s Witnesses. Despite ongoing criticism, President Emomali Rahmon supports these policies. The report also notes that citizens fear discussing religion due to potential persecution. Times of Central Asia, July 1
DP proposes impeachment motion against prosecutors involved in probe into ex-party leader. The Democratic Party (DP) proposed a motion to impeach four prosecutors leading corruption investigations against former party leader Lee Jae-myung. The motion, reported to the National Assembly and submitted to the Legislation and Judiciary Committee, targets prosecutors Uhm Hee-joon, Kang Baek-shin, Park Sang-yong, and Kim Young-cheol. The DP accuses them of fabricating evidence. The presidential office and Prosecutor General Lee One-seok condemned the move, calling it unconstitutional interference. The DP holds a majority in the 300-member parliament. Park Boram, Yonhap News Agency, July 2
Cambodian court jails activists for plotting against government, insulting king. A Cambodian court sentenced 10 activists from the environmental group Mother Nature to up to eight years in prison for plotting against the government and insulting the king. Five activists were arrested outside the Phnom Penh court following the verdict. The group's founder, Alejandro Gonzales-Davidson, criticized the ruling as politically motivated. The activists were charged under Cambodia's lese majeste law and for documenting suspected pollution in the Tonle Sap River. The European Union and Human Rights Watch condemned the verdict, highlighting concerns over freedom of expression under Prime Minister Hun Manet. Kate Lamb, Reuters, July 2
Uzbekistan continues to run up big deficits with leading trade partners. Uzbekistan's trade deficit is increasing, with the total trade volume reaching $26.7 billion from January to May 2024. Imports, growing at 3.7%, outpaced exports, which increased by 1.9%. China and Russia are the largest trade partners, with significant deficits recorded with both. Discrepancies exist between Uzbek and Chinese data on gas exports, with China reporting higher values. In 2023, Uzbekistan imported more gas than it exported for the first time, mainly from Turkmenistan and Russia. Eurasianet, July 2
Nikkei ends above 40,000 as yen falls to new 37-year low vs dollar. The Nikkei Stock Average closed above 40,000 for the first time in 33 years, driven by a weakened yen which fell to a 37-year low against the US dollar. The yen's depreciation boosted export-oriented stocks, contributing to the Nikkei's significant rise. Market analysts attributed the yen's fall to the Bank of Japan's continued ultra-loose monetary policy amid tightening measures by other central banks. The yen traded at 147.97 per dollar, impacting both import costs and inflation. Kyodo News, July 2
Lao government reshuffles key positions across ministries. Following a month-long National Assembly session, Laos announced significant changes in government positions. Bounleua Sinxayvoravong, former Governor of the Bank of Laos (BOL), is reassigned to a new, undisclosed role in Luang Prabang Province, with Vathana Dalaloy stepping in as Acting Governor of the BOL. Chalern Yiapaoher was removed as President of the Law Commission but remains Vice President of the NA. Other key reshuffles include new appointments for Khampheng Vilaphan and Thoummaly Vongphachanh. Kheuakham Chanlivong, The Laotian Times, July 2
Vietnam finalising plan for fund to attract foreign investment. Vietnam's Ministry of Planning and Investment is finalizing a draft plan to establish a fund aimed at attracting foreign investment and maintaining competitiveness. The draft, to be submitted by Friday, outlines the Vietnam Fund for Investment Support, which would finance infrastructure, fixed assets, and human resource training. Funded by the state budget and corporate tax revenue, it targets high-tech projects and those in AI and semiconductors. Vietnam aims to attract $30-$50 billion in annual foreign investment through 2030. Khanh Vu, Reuters, July 2
Govt vows funding for PAF buildup. President Ferdinand Marcos Jr. committed to modernizing the Philippine Air Force (PAF) during its 77th anniversary at Basa Air Base in Pampanga. He assured that the government will provide sustained financial support to enhance the PAF's capabilities and readiness against threats. Marcos emphasized that this initiative is part of broader efforts to ensure national security and improve operational effectiveness. The President's pledge aligns with the administration's goals of bolstering the country's defense forces. Kristina Maralit and Ma. Reina Leanne Tolentino, The Manila Times, July 2
Ex-Trump adviser says China’s clash with Philippines is ‘dress rehearsal’ for Taiwan attack. Former U.S. National Security Adviser Matthew Pottinger claimed Beijing's stand-off with the Philippines in the South China Sea is a practice for a potential attack on Taiwan. Speaking at the Heritage Foundation, Pottinger urged the U.S. to support Filipino marines at Second Thomas Shoal. He described China's actions as efforts to discredit the U.S. and test blockade strategies. China's embassy in Washington dismissed Pottinger's comments, emphasizing that Taiwan is an internal matter. The incident has heightened debate about U.S-Philippine defense commitments. Robert Delaney, South China Morning Post, July 2
Kazakhstan to hold referendum on building nuclear power plant. President Kassym-Jomart Tokayev announced a nationwide referendum on constructing a nuclear power plant, aiming to diversify Kazakhstan's energy sources and reduce CO2 emissions. The potential involvement of Russia's Rosatom has raised concerns due to geopolitical and safety risks. Public opinion is mixed, with 47% supporting and 38% opposing the project. Critics worry that the decision may favor Rosatom regardless of the referendum outcome. Almaz Kumenov, Eurasianet, July 2
Fiji Elections Office deregisters FijiFirst Party. On July 1, 2024, Fiji’s Registrar of Political Parties, Ana Mataiciwa, announced the deregistration of the FijiFirst party for failing to amend its constitution as required by law. The party was given until June 28 to comply but did not. Following this decision, the party is prohibited from engaging in various activities, including meetings and fundraising. Affected individuals can appeal within 14 days. Opposition MPs pledge to maintain their duties and uphold values of equality and integrity. Pita Ligaiula, PINA, July 2
PM Chính urges Việt Nam, RoK to boost high-tech and green investments. Prime Minister Phạm Minh Chính met with South Korean President Yoon Suk Yeol, proposing increased collaboration in high-tech projects and green transformations. Emphasizing semiconductor, digital, and biotechnology sectors, Chính also suggested human resource training and infrastructure development through a $2 billion Economic Development Promotion Fund. South Korean businesses view Việt Nam as a promising investment destination, with support for high-tech and green industry initiatives. Vietnam News, July 2
Opposition vows to step up scrutiny of government. The opposition, led by Pakornwut Udompipatskul of the Move Forward Party, plans to intensify its oversight of the Thai government. With the reopening of parliament, they aim to seek a no-confidence motion against the Pheu Thai-led administration. The opposition's efforts will include collaborating with other parties like the Democrats to enhance government accountability. Prime Minister Srettha Thavisin expressed readiness for scrutiny. The House of Representatives will discuss several bills related to higher education, science, and research. Chairith Yonpiam, Bangkok Post, July 2
Chin forces seize Matupi, advance on Myanmar junta ordnance factories. The Chin Brotherhood captured Matupi town after 20 days of fighting, aiming to drive out junta troops from Chin State. The offensive, involving the Arakan Army and Yaw Army, included fierce battles and significant casualties. The Brotherhood now plans to clear the town of unexploded ordnance and administer it via the Matupi CDF Brigade-1. They aim to advance towards junta ordnance factories, crucial for the junta's warplane munitions. Mary Khaing, The Irrawaddy, July 1
Senate election results delayed. The Election Commission (EC) of Thailand postponed announcing the Senate election results due to numerous complaints about the qualifications of some senators-elect. The EC is reviewing over a thousand complaints related to eligibility and election law violations. The delay aims to ensure fairness and compliance with the law. The new Senate's certification is crucial for legislative duties, including constitutional amendments. Some officials advocate announcing results first while continuing investigations. Bangkok Post, July 2
Singapore prepared to recognise a Palestinian state with an effective government that accepts Israel's right to exist. Foreign Minister Vivian Balakrishnan stated in Parliament that Singapore is ready to recognize Palestine if it forms an effective government that renounces terrorism and acknowledges Israel's existence. This stance aligns with Singapore's consistent support for international law and the two-state solution. Singapore has also supported Palestinian development through a S$10 million Enhanced Technical Assistance Package, training over 750 Palestinian officials in various fields. Abigail Ng, Channel News Asia, July 2
Long Form
Military Exercises Galore. The United States led two major international naval exercises, Freedom Edge and RIMPAC, aiming to improve trilateral interoperability with Japan and South Korea and promote Indo-Pacific stability. Freedom Edge, focusing on various defense and rescue operations, highlighted the commitment to counter North Korea and China's military activities. RIMPAC, involving 29 nations, emphasized inclusivity and multinational cooperation, with a significant humanitarian aid component. These exercises are indicative of strengthening U.S. military alliances in the region. Connor Fiddler,
, July 1Dozens of Rural Governments Shortchange Student Meals to Shore Up Budgets. Rural governments in China are cutting costs on student meal programs to manage their budget crises. The reduction in meal quality and quantity aims to address financial strains caused by excessive borrowing and dependence on land sales. Critics argue that this compromises students' health and education, calling for better fiscal policies and diversified revenue sources to ensure sustainable development and protect student welfare.
, July 1India's plan for a world without cash. India has become a leading player in digital payments, accounting for 46% of global real-time digital transactions in 2022. The Unified Payments Interface (UPI), developed by the National Payments Corporation of India, integrates multiple bank accounts into a single mobile app for easy payments. UPI is owned by the Indian government and aims to expand internationally, with ambitions to establish operations in 20 countries by 2028-29. This move could significantly boost India's influence in global finance. Evan Freidin, Lowy Institute, July 3
Chandrababu Naidu: Modi’s coalition partner complements his global outlook. India's 2024 general election resulted in a coalition government, with Chandrababu Naidu's Telugu Desam Party (TDP) as a significant partner. Naidu's experience and global outlook align with Prime Minister Modi’s vision, emphasizing foreign investment and economic reforms. His influence may steer Andhra Pradesh towards becoming a hub for high-profile diplomatic activities and foreign investments, reflecting a synergy between regional and national strategies for India's global positioning. Paras Ratna, Lowy Institute, July 2
Putin goes to Pyongyang: Should we be worried? Russian President Vladimir Putin’s recent visit to North Korea has resulted in a new strategic treaty with Kim Jong-un, focusing on mutual assistance and cooperation on various fronts, including military-technical collaboration. This partnership raises concerns about North Korea’s potential contribution to Russia's arms cache amid the Ukraine conflict and possible support for its nuclear program. The alliance has alarmed Western nations, prompting a strong response from South Korea, Japan, and the United States. Jane Hardy, Lowy Institute, July 2
Japan's Debate Over LGBTQ+ Rights: The Courts. Japan's courts are increasingly recognizing the need for legal protections for same-sex couples. Legal battles from 2019 to 2024 highlight shifting judicial support for LGBTQ+ rights, with several courts ruling that the current ban on same-sex marriage is unconstitutional. Despite the judiciary's stance, legislative change remains slow, and national lawmakers have yet to fully address these issues. The future of same-sex marriage in Japan hinges on ongoing appeals and potential Supreme Court involvement. Erin Gallagher, Council on Foreign Relations, July 1
Migrant Workers Pay Sky-high Fees to Expand Taiwan’s Biggest Airport. Taiwanese airport construction in Taoyuan involves thousands of Vietnamese and Thai workers facing debt bondage due to exorbitant recruitment fees. Workers pay up to $5,700 to recruiters, leading to debt that forces them into harsh labor conditions. The Taiwanese government and contractors like Samsung C&T have been criticized for not addressing forced labor risks. Over 500 workers have fled, becoming undocumented. Peter Bengtsen, The Diplomat, July 2
Reviving Energy Interdependence in Central Asia. Central Asia is working to reconnect the Central Asian Integrated Power System (IPS) after years of fragmentation post-Soviet Union. Efforts led by Tajikistan, funded by the Asian Development Bank, aim to restore regional electricity exchanges by July 2024. This revival is driven by increased regional cooperation and economic pragmatism, with leaders recognizing the importance of energy interdependence for stability and prosperity. Peter Krasnopolsky, The Diplomat, July 2
Is Laos Planning to Sell Off More of Its Energy Sector to China? Laos' state-run energy utility, Électricité du Laos (EDL), may sell a significant stake in its subsidiary EDL-Generation to a Chinese company. This follows a controversial 2020 deal where EDL sold its power transmission network to China Southern Power Grid Company. EDL's debt crisis, compounded by the devaluation of its currency and energy shortages, drives this potential sale. Vientiane is also pushing for solar and wind energy projects to boost exports and diversify its energy sector. David Hutt, The Diplomat, July 2
Northeast India’s Battle Against Drugs. The northeastern states of India, particularly Manipur, face severe drug trafficking and addiction issues, exacerbated by cross-border trade with Myanmar. The region, known as the "Seven Sisters," has become a significant route for narcotics, leading to increased government surveillance and security measures. Efforts include the deployment of hi-tech surveillance equipment and a crackdown on drug syndicates. Despite these measures, the drug menace persists, with high addiction rates and the involvement of international drug cartels. Sajal Nag, The Diplomat, July 2
Breathing life into Northeast Asia alliances. The May 2024 China–Japan–South Korea trilateral summit in Seoul focused on cooperation in areas like people-to-people exchanges, sustainable development, and economic cooperation. Despite criticisms for not addressing contentious issues, this approach may foster stability amidst US-China rivalry. Experts suggest that adopting a model similar to the USMCA could enhance economic and social relations, ensuring open communication and mitigating conflicts. Strengthening non-sensitive sector cooperation could pave the way for long-term regional stability. Chan Mo Ku, East Asia Forum, July 2
Difficult times Lai ahead for Taiwan’s new president. Newly elected President Lai Ching-te faces controversy over parliamentary reform legislation, causing political clashes and protests. The reforms aim to expand parliamentary powers but are criticized for potential abuse and hurried passage. Lai's administration, succeeding under former President Tsai Ing-wen, must navigate deep political polarization and an opposition-controlled legislature. The situation signals executive-legislative deadlock and challenges in implementing effective governance. Willy Jou, East Asia Forum, July 1
Reporting on religious minorities in India. A report by India's Economic Advisory Council suggests Muslims will outnumber Hindus, intensifying anti-Muslim sentiment despite evidence to the contrary. The narrative, promoted by right-wing politicians, fuels political polarization and hate speech. Actual demographic trends show a declining Muslim fertility rate and increasing socioeconomic disparities. Addressing these issues through education, healthcare, and economic development is crucial for stability and unity. Golam Rasul, East Asia Forum, July 2
Indonesia’s Islam-based Mass Organisations and the Mining Industry Vortex. The Indonesian government is granting coal mining concessions to religious mass organizations like Nahdlatul Ulama (NU) and the Indonesian Council of Ulama (MUI). While this move aims to utilize their broad business networks, critics argue these organizations lack the expertise to manage mining operations and may jeopardize environmental sustainability. The policy reflects political indebtedness and has sparked internal dissent and environmental concerns. Syafiq Hasyim, Fulcrum, July 2
The South China Sea’s Forgotten Front: Mitigating Sinophobia for Philippine Stability and Security. Geopolitical tensions with China have led to heightened scrutiny of PRC nationals and individuals of Chinese descent in the Philippines, fueling Sinophobia. This rising anti-Chinese sentiment undermines diplomatic efforts, economic interests, and social cohesion. To address this, the Philippines must develop consistent anti-discrimination policies, improve tracking and reporting of Sinophobia, engage more with Chinese communities, and avoid unfounded smear campaigns. These steps are crucial for maintaining stability and effectively managing relations with China. Tappy Lung, CSIS, July 1
Secret Signals: Decoding China’s Intelligence Activities in Cuba. China's intelligence activities in Cuba, revealed through satellite imagery, indicate the presence of four active signals intelligence (SIGINT) sites. These sites, strategically located, enhance China's capability to monitor U.S. communications and military activities. The facilities include historical and newly constructed complexes, equipped with advanced antennas for electronic surveillance. China's deepening ties with Cuba, amid Havana's economic struggles, reflect a broader strategy to expand its global intelligence and military footprint. Matthew P. Funaiole, Aidan Powers-Riggs, Brian Hart, Henry Ziemer, Joseph S. Bermudez Jr., Ryan C. Berg, and Christopher Hernandez-Roy, CSIS, July 1