Yoon to attend hearing of impeachment trial Tuesday. South Korean President Yoon Suk Yeol will appear at the Constitutional Court on Tuesday for the third hearing of his impeachment trial, marking the first time an impeached president has personally attended such proceedings. The trial reviews his December 3 imposition of martial law, which he justified as a defense against "anti-state forces." Suspended from duties and detained since last week, Yoon faces charges of insurrection and abuse of power. The court has until June 11 to rule on his impeachment. Kim Eun-jung, Yonhap News Agency, January 20
Donald Trump goes light on China on day 1, except where the Panama Canal is concerned. In his inaugural address, U.S. President Donald Trump accused Panama of violating the treaty governing the Panama Canal by enabling Chinese companies to operate there, asserting this compromises U.S. security. Trump proposed buying or reclaiming the canal. Chinese involvement includes investments since 2016 in ports and infrastructure. Trump also called for overhauling trade policies to protect American workers, while Panama’s president denied foreign interference, affirming the canal’s neutrality. Igor Patrick and Laura Zhou, South China Morning Post, January 20
Myanmar military, minority armed group agree ceasefire, China says. The Myanmar military and the Myanmar National Democratic Alliance Army (MNDAA) have agreed to a ceasefire, effective Saturday, following talks in Kunming, China, according to Beijing’s foreign ministry. The ceasefire aims to reduce conflict near the China-Myanmar border, with China pledging continued support for peace efforts. The MNDAA, part of the Three Brotherhood Alliance, has been fighting Myanmar’s junta, which seized power in 2021. Ethan Wang and Liz Lee, Reuters, January 20
Yoon moved to solitary cell at Seoul Detention Center. Detained President Yoon Suk Yeol was transferred to a 12-square-meter solitary cell at the Seoul Detention Center’s general wing on Sunday after a formal arrest warrant was issued. Correctional officials confirmed Yoon is cooperating with procedures and is now referred to by his inmate number, 10. Security measures are in place to prevent attempts by supporters to free him. Yoon’s lawyers criticized restrictions on family visitations, calling them retaliatory. Kim Eun-jung, Yonhap News Agency, January 20
Time for a younger BoT chief, DPM says. Deputy Prime Minister Pichai Chunhavajira suggested the next Bank of Thailand (BoT) governor should come from a younger generation with a forward-looking vision to address economic challenges, including market volatility and digital transformation. Current BoT Governor Sethaput Suthiwartnarueput’s term ends on September 30, with the selection process expected to begin in June. Wichit Chantanusornsiri, Bangkok Post, January 20
Survey shows drop in Marcos, Sara ratings. A Tangere survey conducted from January 13 to 16 revealed declines in satisfaction and trust ratings for Philippine President Ferdinand Marcos Jr. and Vice President Sara Duterte. Duterte's satisfaction rating dropped to 40.6% from 45.5%, while her trust rating fell to 47.0% from 53.4%, with increased dissatisfaction among low-income respondents. Marcos’ satisfaction dipped to 46.2% from 47.9%, and his trust rating declined to 58.5% from 60.1%. Franco Jose C. Baroña, The Manila Times, January 20
Survey: 51% of voters want an administration not led by LDP. An Asahi Shimbun survey on Jan. 18-19 showed support for Prime Minister Shigeru Ishiba’s Cabinet fell to 33%, with a disapproval rating rising to 51%. More than half of respondents preferred an administration led by non-LDP parties, compared to 34% who supported the ruling LDP. Younger generations expressed particularly low approval, with less than 20% of voters aged 18-29 backing the Cabinet. The survey also highlighted growing skepticism of Ishiba’s economic policies and worsening public perceptions of the LDP amid funding scandals. The Asahi Shimbun, January 20
Pakistan’s largest airport becomes operational, part of the Chinese Belt and Road Initiative. The $230 million Gwadar airport in Balochistan, funded and built by China, is now operational, with an inaugural flight from Karachi landing on Monday. Part of China’s Belt and Road Initiative, the airport can handle 400,000 travelers annually and supports Beijing’s efforts to access Arabian Sea shipping lanes via the China-Pakistan Economic Corridor. Pakistani Defense Minister Khawaja Mohammad Asif praised the project’s economic potential, while ethnic Baloch separatists oppose it, citing economic exploitation. Abdul Sattar, AP News, January 20
ASEAN appoints new envoy for Myanmar. ASEAN has appointed Othman Hashim, a former secretary-general of Malaysia’s Foreign Ministry, as its new special envoy to Myanmar. His mission is to advance the implementation of ASEAN's Five-Point Consensus, established in April 2021, which calls for an immediate cessation of violence and dialogue among all parties in Myanmar. Previous envoys have made limited progress, with only Prak Sokhonn of Cambodia having visited Myanmar and met junta leader Min Aung Hlaing. Naung Naung, The Irrawaddy, January 20
U.S. signs deal to train Taiwanese navy as island mulls cuts to military exchange budgets. The U.S. has signed a two-year, $1.5 million agreement to train Taiwan’s navy at its headquarters in Zuoying district. This marks the first public confirmation of such cooperation, signaling closer U.S.-Taiwan ties amid rising tensions with Beijing. Taiwan’s legislature will vote on an opposition proposal to cut overseas training budgets by 15%, which the defense ministry warns could harm military readiness. Beijing opposes U.S. military support for Taiwan, viewing it as part of China. Lawrence Chung, South China Morning Post, January 20
Vietnam, Czech Republic issue joint statement on relationship upgrade. Vietnam and the Czech Republic upgraded their relationship to a strategic partnership during Prime Minister Pham Minh Chinh’s official visit to Prague. The agreement enhances collaboration in areas including politics, defense, trade, education, and culture while marking 75 years of diplomatic ties. Both sides emphasized respect for sovereignty, adherence to the UN Charter, and cooperation within ASEAN and the EU. Vietnam News, January 20
Kazakhstan plans to end state regulation of fuel prices. Kazakhstan's Ministry of Energy announced plans to gradually shift gasoline and diesel prices from state regulation to market-based pricing to address price disparities with neighboring countries and prevent illegal fuel exports. A liter of gasoline costs 205 KZT ($0.39) in Kazakhstan, significantly lower than in Russia, Kyrgyzstan, and Uzbekistan. The ministry pledged to subsidize fuel for agricultural producers and provide social support during the transition. The plan also aims to expand refinery capacity from 18 to 28 million tons annually. Vagit Ismailov, The Times of Central Asia, January 20
Yoon supporters break into court after president’s detention extended. Supporters of South Korean President Yoon Suk Yeol forcibly entered the Seoul Western District Court over the weekend, injuring 42 police officers and damaging vehicles belonging to the Corruption Investigation Office for High-ranking Officials (CIO). Protesters attacked CIO personnel, broke car windows with flagpoles, and deflated tires, demanding the agency’s dissolution. The CIO condemned the actions and pledged to seek penalties. Fire authorities reported 41 injuries, with 12 individuals hospitalized. The CIO is considering protective measures for its staff. Lee Soo-yeon, The Dong-A Ilbo, January 20
Japan, Australia agree to push Quad under Trump's second presidency. Japanese Foreign Minister Takeshi Iwaya and Australian Foreign Minister Penny Wong agreed Sunday to strengthen Quad cooperation with the U.S. and India to ensure Indo-Pacific stability. Meeting in Washington ahead of Donald Trump’s inauguration, they emphasized Japan and Australia’s leadership in promoting a free and open Indo-Pacific amid growing regional security challenges. They also pledged deeper bilateral collaboration on economic issues, cybersecurity, and exchanges. Kyodo News, January 20
Philippines arrests Chinese national on suspicion of espionage. Philippine authorities arrested Chinese national Deng Yuanqing, linked to China’s Army Engineering University of the PLA, for alleged surveillance of critical infrastructure, including U.S.-accessible military sites. Spy equipment was found in Deng’s vehicle, and officials suspect he transmitted sensitive data to China. Deng, in the Philippines for five years, was described as a "sleeper agent" by investigators. The arrest occurs amid strained relations over China’s activities in disputed maritime areas. Karen Lema, Reuters, January 20
Kazakhstan-China railway cargo transportation reaches record high in 2024. Railway cargo between Kazakhstan and China reached 32 million tons in 2024, a record high. Kazakh exports totaled 13.7 million tons, including iron ore, metals, and grain. Chinese transit cargo through Kazakhstan rose 19% to 15.3 million tons, while container shipments to Europe via the Trans-Caspian route increased 43%. Growth was supported by a new terminal in Xi’an and Kazakhstan’s rail network expansion. Nine additional terminals are planned by 2026. Sergey Kwan, The Times of Central Asia, January 20
Green growth, high-tech gains and hard truths for China’s economy. China achieved around 5% GDP growth in 2024, driven by rapid expansion in green industries like electric vehicles, solar panels, and lithium-ion batteries, which accounted for 40% of GDP growth. The country leads global production in key green technologies and exceeded its wind and solar capacity targets six years ahead of schedule. High-tech sectors also saw robust growth, with investment in new-energy vehicles, industrial robots, and integrated circuits far outpacing overall industrial growth. However, challenges persist, including a contracting real estate sector, weak consumption demand due to increased household savings, and local government debt burdens. Externally, Donald Trump’s re-election and proposed tariffs on Chinese imports pose risks, though China is better prepared to respond with targeted measures, export diversification, and enhanced global partnerships. Despite these challenges, China is expected to prioritize structural reforms, stimulus policies, and multilateral engagement to sustain growth in 2025. Yan Liang, East Asia Forum, January 21
ASEAN should hope for the best but prepare for the worst in 2025. As 2025 ASEAN Chair, Malaysia faces geopolitical and economic challenges, including the Myanmar crisis, tensions in the South China Sea, and the effects of escalating US-China rivalry. Balancing its strong ties with China and strained US relations, Malaysia will prioritize regional economic integration, including advancing the ASEAN–China Free Trade Agreement 3.0, the ASEAN Digital Economy Framework Agreement (DEFA), and the ASEAN Community Vision 2045. DEFA is expected to add $2 trillion to ASEAN's economy by 2030, but risks widening the digital divide, which Malaysia must address through regional cooperation. Amid growing US protectionism under Donald Trump’s administration and Malaysia’s emphasis on South–South partnerships, Malaysia will leverage platforms like the ASEAN–GCC Summit and its ASEAN–China Country Coordinator role to strengthen ties with China. Malaysia's leadership in ASEAN’s future direction, including conflict resolution and economic strategies, will be tested as the region navigates an increasingly unstable global order. Sharon Seah, East Asia Forum, January 20
The Philippines under the shadow of great powers. Donald Trump’s return to the US presidency has raised concerns about potential US isolationism, which could weaken the Philippines' ability to counter aggressive Chinese actions in the South China Sea. While Florida Senator Marco Rubio’s nomination as Secretary of State provides hope for strengthened US–Philippine security ties, President Ferdinand Marcos Jr faces challenges in balancing domestic and international pressures. The collapse of the UniTeam alliance between the Marcos and Duterte camps has led to escalating political conflict, including Vice President Sara Duterte facing impeachment complaints amid threats against Marcos Jr. Public trust in Marcos Jr has waned due to inflation, corruption, and governance issues, making the May 2025 midterm elections a critical test of his leadership. Marcos Jr’s ability to secure US support under Trump’s transactional diplomacy will be vital for defending Philippine interests and maintaining stability amid great power competition. Jenny Balboa, East Asia Forum, January 18
Domestic politics not security or economics sabotage US Steel’s Japan deal. Both Joe Biden and Donald Trump oppose Nippon Steel’s proposed purchase of US Steel, citing job protection and national security concerns, despite Nippon’s offer of technology transfer, investment in facility upgrades, and US veto power over capacity reductions. This opposition reflects longstanding political sensitivities in swing states like Pennsylvania, where deindustrialization decimated the steel industry. Nippon Steel’s withdrawal from its partnership with China’s Baoshan Steel and its existing US operations demonstrate its alignment with American interests. While steel remains vital for national security, its economic significance has diminished in favor of high-tech and service industries. Historical protectionist measures, such as the 1968 Voluntary Restraint Agreements, failed to prevent industry decline, and selling US Steel to Nippon could foster collaboration with Japan, a trusted ally. A more effective strategy for revitalizing the steel sector would involve investment in innovation, worker training, and open markets rather than rejecting foreign ownership. Anthony P D’Costa, East Asia Forum, January 19
China in Pakistan’s Power Sector: The Hidden Costs Behind Pakistan’s Energy Overcapacity. Despite Pakistan's installed power capacity of 42,131 MW—nearly double its domestic demand—the country continues to experience chronic power shortages and frequent load-shedding, even in major cities like Karachi. This paradox stems from Power Purchase Agreements (PPAs) with Independent Power Producers (IPPs), particularly Chinese firms under the China-Pakistan Economic Corridor (CPEC). These agreements include high "capacity payments," obligating the government to pay IPPs regardless of actual electricity production or consumption. Following a sharp increase in electricity rates in May 2024 to secure an IMF bailout, the cost of powering a home in Pakistan now exceeds rental expenses, exacerbating public dissatisfaction. The situation has led to calls for renegotiating these agreements to address inflated tariffs and reform Pakistan's power sector. The origins of private power production in Pakistan date back to the 1980s and 1990s, with policies aimed at attracting foreign investment; however, the resulting contractual obligations have contributed to the current energy and financial challenges. Nishant Yadav, The Diplomat, January 18
Southeast Asia’s Frustration with the State of Climate Finance. At the 29th United Nations Climate Change Conference (COP29) in Azerbaijan, developed nations agreed to increase annual climate finance to developing countries from US$100 billion to US$300 billion by 2035. However, this commitment has been met with frustration in Southeast Asia due to concerns over the reliance on private investments, which may impose financial burdens on developing nations. The region requires approximately US$210 billion annually until 2030 for climate-resilient infrastructure, representing about 5% of its GDP. Despite Southeast Asia accounting for an estimated quarter of global energy demand growth over the next decade, renewable energy investments in the region constitute only 2% of the global total. Given the inadequacy of current climate finance commitments, Southeast Asian countries are urged to seek alternative funding sources beyond UN frameworks to meet their climate mitigation and adaptation needs. Prapimphan Chiengkul, Fulcrum, January 21
The Controversy of Indonesia’s Gus Miftah: A Public Backlash. In December 2024, Indonesian preacher Gus Miftah faced widespread criticism after publicly insulting an elderly tea seller, Sunhaji, during a religious gathering in Magelang, Central Java. Miftah's derogatory remarks, including calling Sunhaji an "idiot," were captured on video, leading to public outrage and multiple online petitions demanding justice. The incident prompted Miftah to visit Sunhaji's residence to apologize and subsequently resign from his position as the presidential special envoy for religious harmony, a role he had held for just 46 days. Despite efforts to mend his reputation, including organizing a religious gathering near Sunhaji's home, many viewed these actions as superficial. This event has intensified scrutiny of religious preachers in Indonesia, showing the concerns about the alignment between their public conduct and the moral values they advocate. Miftah, known for his unconventional preaching style and outreach to marginalized groups, has previously faced criticism for inappropriate remarks, but the Sunhaji incident has greatly tarnished his public image. Haula Noor and Nur Syafiqah Mohd Taufek, Fulcrum, January 20