News
China will not fall into ‘trap’ of war in Taiwan Strait: former envoy Cui Tiankai. Cui Tiankai, China's ex-ambassador to the US, stated Beijing would avoid conflict in the Taiwan Strait, attributing tensions to external provocations aimed at inciting a proxy war. He emphasized the importance of prioritizing Sino-US relations and urged Asia-Pacific nations to prevent escalation to Cold War-like tensions. Cui highlighted Taiwan's status and Beijing's commitment to peaceful reunification, reflecting on the broader implications for regional stability and Sino-US relations. Yanyue Dong, South China Morning Post, February 12
Kyrgyzstan: Japarov hits back at U.S. over NGO bill criticism. Kyrgyz President Sadyr Japarov has responded strongly to U.S. criticism of proposed NGO regulation changes, asserting that detractors are misinformed and motivated by financial interests. The controversial bill, likened to Russia's "foreign agents" law, complicates operations for NGOs receiving foreign funding, igniting international concern over its impact on civil society and freedom of operation. Japarov's defense emphasizes national sovereignty in legislative matters, despite international apprehensions about shrinking civic spaces. Ayzirek Imanaliyeva, Eurasianet, February 12
Japan, Pacific islands oppose change of status quo amid China clout. Japan and Pacific Island nations, during a meeting in Fiji, opposed any attempts to alter the status quo through force, amidst China's rising influence. The ministers emphasized upholding the "international rules-based order" and discussed the importance of scientific transparency concerning Japan's treated wastewater release. This collaboration sets the stage for the upcoming Pacific Islands Leaders Meeting in Tokyo, focusing on climate change, maritime issues, and maintaining a free and open Indo-Pacific region. Kyodo News, February 12
Laos to Prioritize Human Rights Engagement During ASEAN Chairmanship. Laos aims to enhance its role in human rights within ASEAN, highlighting its commitment to align domestic laws with international standards. Despite constitutional guarantees for equality, enforcement challenges persist, especially against minority and marginalized groups. Laos's leadership in ASEAN presents an opportunity to advance human rights discussions, with a focus on education and legal framework improvements to fulfill international commitments. Phontham Visapra, The Laotian Times, February 12
Indian police block roads to halt farmers’ march to New Delhi. In response to farmers marching towards New Delhi for better crop prices, Indian police erected roadblocks. This action aims to prevent a repeat of the extensive 2021 protests. The farmers' demonstrations, occurring just before the national elections, underscore the agricultural community's significant influence and ongoing disputes over government support prices. Al Jazeera, February 12
China displays FC-31 fighter at Saudi defence show in bid to increase exports. China showcased the FC-31 fighter jet, aiming to expand its defense exports to Middle East nations at the World Defence Show in Saudi Arabia. The display highlights China's challenge to US dominance in the region's military procurement, amid increasing regional conflicts. With the FC-31 still under development, China positions it as a competitor to advanced US models, emphasizing its stealth capabilities and potential for enhancing air-force capabilities among Middle Eastern countries. Seong Hyeon Choi, South China Morning Post, February 12
2023 - a highlight in Việt Nam-Saudi Arabia relations: Ambassador. The year marked significant progress in Vietnam-Saudi Arabia relations, with increased delegation exchanges and vital agreements enhancing bilateral ties. Economic cooperation emerged as a focal point, with Saudi Arabia as Vietnam's top Middle Eastern trade partner, achieving $2.68 billion in trade. Celebrating the 25th anniversary of diplomatic relations, both nations aim to deepen connections through cultural, trade, and official exchanges, fostering a stronger partnership. Vietnam News, February 12
Rally against Thaksin's release, warning of bigger protests. Protesters rallied outside Thailand's Justice Ministry opposing the potential release of former Prime Minister Thaksin Shinawatra, citing concerns over equality in the justice system. The demonstration signals growing dissent over Thaksin's treatment and hints at larger protests if he is released without serving prison time for past convictions. Bangkok Post, February 12
Malaysia's plan to scrap pensions sparks backlash. Malaysia's government faces opposition over its plan to eliminate pensions for new civil servants, aiming to prevent bankruptcy. Critics argue the move could reduce the civil service's appeal, particularly affecting education and health sectors. Prime Minister Anwar Ibrahim has pledged salary increases to mitigate concerns, emphasizing the need for fiscal sustainability without compromising public service efficiency. Rashvinjeet S Bedi, Channel News Asia, February 13
Yoon's approval rating inches up to 39.2 pct. President Yoon Suk Yeol's approval rating has slightly increased to 39.2 percent, according to a Realmeter survey. This rise is attributed to positive responses to recent policy announcements, including plans to expand afterschool programs and increase medical school seats. The survey, involving 2,011 adults, reflects a growing approval of Yoon's performance. No author listed, Yonhap News Agency, February 12
Long Form
What’s Driving Kim Jong Un’s New Regional Development Policy? North Korea has unveiled a significant regional development initiative, the "20×10 policy," aimed at constructing manufacturing facilities across 20 cities and counties annually over the next decade. This move, publicly acknowledged by Kim Jong Un, highlights the regime's recognition of the stark disparities in living conditions between Pyongyang and the rest of the country, and the growing public discontent this inequality has fostered. Kim's announcement, notably setting a 10-year timeline, marks a departure from previous practices, suggesting an understanding that these ambitious goals require a prolonged effort. This policy reflects the North Korean leadership's attempt to address internal challenges and improve the nation's economic landscape. Lee Sang-yong, The Diplomat, February 13
The 2024 Indonesian Election is All About the Economy. As Indonesia gears up for its 2024 elections, the economy stands out as the pivotal issue driving voter sentiment. Under President Joko "Jokowi" Widodo's leadership, the country has seen an average annual economic growth of 4.2 percent, a performance that has significantly boosted his popularity, with approval ratings around 80 percent. Voters are keen on maintaining this economic trajectory, looking towards candidates who promise to continue Jokowi's policies. Prabowo Subianto, Jokowi's former rival turned ally, is favored to win, especially with the strategic addition of Jokowi's son as his vice-presidential running mate. This election underscores the Indonesian electorate's desire for economic stability and growth continuity. James Guild, The Diplomat, February 13
South Korean Flashpoint Island Frets as War Whispers Grow Louder. Yeonpyeong Island, a South Korean territory near the contentious maritime border with North Korea, is experiencing heightened anxiety due to escalating military tensions. Residents, like 73-year-old Kim Young-shik, recall past conflicts with North Korea, including a deadly shelling in 2010, but note the current threat feels more severe due to North Korea's rapid weapons development. Recent months have seen aggressive moves from North Korea, including missile tests and claims of new military capabilities, intensifying fears among the island's residents. The situation is further complicated by political dynamics in South Korea and the U.S., with upcoming elections potentially affecting the geopolitical landscape. Despite the looming threat, the people of Yeonpyeong Island, with its significant military presence and community of crab fishermen, strive to maintain a semblance of normal life amidst the uncertainty. Steven Borowiec, Nikkei Asia, February 13
Indonesia's Next President Should Focus on Job Creation. Indonesia's economic landscape under President Joko "Jokowi" Widodo has seen significant infrastructure development and an increase in GDP per capita, yet the nation still grapples with fundamental economic challenges. The focus on mining and infrastructure, while boosting the country's position in global supply chains, particularly for electric vehicles (EVs), has not sufficiently addressed job creation for its 189 million working-age adults. With 59% of the workforce in the informal sector, and mining accounting for only 1% of employment, the next president faces the task of diversifying investment into sectors that can generate more jobs. The upcoming election presents candidates with differing visions for Indonesia's future, emphasizing the need for policies that better leverage Indonesia's labor endowment and reduce dependency on foreign investment, particularly from China. The goal is to achieve more inclusive economic growth and improve the utilization of the country's labor resources. Trinh Nguyen, Nikkei Asia, February 13
Assessing Indonesia’s Potential Presidents’ South China Sea Strategies. In the lead-up to Indonesia's 2024 presidential election, the South China Sea dispute emerges as a critical issue, reflecting Indonesia's complex relationship with China. During a presidential debate, candidates outlined their approaches to this geopolitical challenge. Ganjar Pranowo emphasized Indonesia's non-claimant status but highlighted its potential to mediate the conflict, suggesting "provisional measures" to maintain peace, though specifics remain unclear. Anies Baswedan advocated for a unified ASEAN stance, noting the organization's fragmented approach to China. Prabowo Subianto focused on strengthening maritime defense capabilities, suggesting a more assertive stance in the North Natuna Sea. The candidates' strategies reveal differing visions for Indonesia's role in regional security and its handling of sovereignty issues, particularly in the contentious South China Sea. Aristyo Rizka Darmawan, East Asia Forum, February 13